November 12, 2011
margin of safety calculation — Case Study 1 : China A-shares, Shanxi Lu n Environmental Energy (601 699) on September 22, 2011 closing price of 28.99 yuan to buy, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 2443.06, known: 2011 mid-term earnings per share 0.86 ($), 5 years of Bank interest 5.50%, demand Shanxi Lu n Environmental Energy margin of safety price is how much, the intrinsic value of the market to Shanxi Lu n Environmental Energy is how much? Now (2011) can hold? Rise to the risk of how much prices have? Now 28.99 yuan to buy Shanxi Lu n Environmental Energy is correct?
stock investment into a mathematical formula — stock investment margin of safety formula (the Margin of the safety stock investment formula) (This article published: Wall Street happy Forum: http://www.wallstreetsurvivor.com / CS / forums / or http://www.wallstreetsurvivor.com/CS/forums/t/4568 7.aspx who http://liujw789.blog.com/)
solution : bonus issue calculate the margin of safety:
because: Liu Jinwu investment Theorem 1: the stock price is proportional to the earnings per share, calculated with the bank deposit interest rate is inversely proportional to the real value.
: 2011 mid-term earnings per share of 0.86 yuan, is expected 2011 earnings per share of 1.72 yuan.
: Formula: W = N / M (Liu Jinwu ? L formula 1).
: W = 1.72 / 0.055 = 31.27 yuan.
(Note: The “W” indicates the price of the stock, “N” to indicate that the earnings per share, “M” to represent the bank deposit interest rates, the range is greater than zero. 0.055 5-year Bank interest 5.50%)
A: Shanxi Lu n Environmental Energy margin of safety price of 31.27 yuan, close to the margin of safety should not be held by at risk. was named the Class 2A.
Note: The 2012 margin of safety at any time be re-evaluated according to the company fundamentals and the macro side.
Tip 1: Liu Jinwu investment in the first theorem above can also calculate the U.S. stock, “M” to represent the 30-year U.S. Treasury bill rate, you can directly calculate the margin of safety. This is from the Chinese invention of the 21st century greatest formula. Not all stocks are calculated, like the analogy to Newton second theorem F = ma, in the calculation of conditional acceleration conditions, application of Newton second law F = ma, the science is strictly prohibited. Liu Jinwu investment the theorems formula: W = N / M is the same. Calculate the margin of safety is actually computing the stock price is equal to the number of five-year deposit interest “? Buy stocks with the five-year deposit interest is not as good as it is not profitable to buy stocks. Formulas are the same, we all go to practice! And F = ma Newton theorem. Prove the correctness of this theory here. How to do it F = ma Newton theorem, some people calculated correctly, some people miscalculation, this is your problem, and the university entrance exam, like a subject score. I will try to invest in stocks into a math game (mathematical formulas). I believe that this is a great invention.
So, the stock price is equal to the number of five-year deposit interest? Need to address the following seven questions, in order to accurately calculate the margin of safety for each stock.
margin of safety and the stock price difference
margin of safety is relatively stable, changes every year, generally based on changes in bank interest and earnings per share, the fluctuation is relatively small can be calculated; stock price changes every moment, the general share price is decided according to the business growth, relatively large fluctuations, the company future is not easy to judge, is not easy to calculate the judgment.
2, the calculated margin of safety conditions
margin of safety valuation method
4, bonus issue and send the dividend calculation on the difference between < br />
5, a different margin of safety stock
6, held by five years the lower margin of safety calculation
7, the margin of safety and minimum safety margin of difference
margin of safety valuation method rating
margin of safety valuation method to calculate the stock is now real close to the value of a stock investment risk can be determined, see stock The price is higher than the margin of safety, in accordance with the present period closing price, rating of listed companies, investors Reference, as a standard to determine the level of stock prices. General annual rating once the standard, according to the basic analysis of the company rating. Do not do technical analysis, to use technical analysis on Wall Street is ridiculous.
higher than the price of the margin of safety is not able to hold the stock, then, is higher than the marginal price of the security stocks as rated 1A; stock rating is lower than the marginal price of the security for the 3A level; rating on the stock was close to or equal to the margin of safety price level 2A.
so investing in stocks will have a standard of judgment, have such a requirement in order to identify a basic standard of investors buying and selling stocks, the basic standard is always the same every year you can According to the marginal price of the company safety rating: divided into Class 3A, 2A, 1A level. For the year rating of listed companies is based on the fundamentals and the macro side.
Tip 2: do not understand the need to learn, please contact: liujw789@yahoo.com.cn.
Margin of safety calculation — Case Study 1: China A- shares, Shanxi Lu n Environmental Energy (601699) on September 22, 2011 closing price of 28.99 yuan to buy, the Shanghai index closed at 2443.06, is known: per share by mid-2011 gains 0.86 (yuan), 5-year 5.50 % bank interest, seeking the safety of Shanxi Lu n Environmental Energy marginal price is the amount of the market to Shanxi Lu n Environmental Energy intrinsic value? Now (2011) can hold? How much the price can only rise to the risk? Now 28.99 yuan to buy Shanxi Lu n Environmental Energy is correct?
Solution: According to the calculated margin of safety:
Because: Liu Jinwu investment first theorem: “the stock price with earnings per share is proportional to the inverse proportion with the bank deposit rate “to calculate the true value.
And because: mid-2011 earnings per share 0.86 yuan in 2011, earnings per share 1.72 yuan.
According to: the formula: W = N / M (Liu Jinwu ? L Equation 1).
Get: W = 1.72 yuan / 0.055 = 31.27 yuan .
(Note: “W” that the stock price, “N” to represent the earnings per share, “M” to represent the bank deposit interest rates, the range is greater than zero. 0.055 5 -year period the interest rate is 5.50%)
A: The Shanxi Lu n Environmental Energy security is the marginal price of 31.27 yuan, close to the margin of safety should not be held at risk. Was named the 2A level.
Note: The 2012 margin of safety at any time based on company fundamentals and macro-surface re-assessment calculations.
Tip 1: The above Liujin Wu first theorem can also be calculated investments US stocks, “M” to represent the US 30-year Treasury interest rate, you can directly calculate the margin of safety. This is the 21st century from China, the greatest invention of the formula. Not all stocks are on this calculation, like the analogy of Newton second theorem F = ma, in the calculation of the conditional, as long as the acceleration applied only under the conditions of Newton Second Law F = ma, science is strictly prohibited. Liu Jinwu investment Theorem formula: W = N / M is the same. Calculate margin of safety is actually calculated “how much the stock price is equal to five-year deposit interest”? 5-year deposit to buy the stock even if the interest is not , can not make money buying stocks. The same formula, we all go to practice! On Newton law F = ma and the same. Here to prove the correctness of such a theory. How the solution for F = ma Newton theorem, some calculation is correct, some calculation errors, which are your own problems, as do the questions and the university entrance exam scores. I will strive to invest in stocks turned into a math game (mathematical formula)! I believe this is a great invention. < br />
So, how much the stock price is equal to 5-year deposit interest rates? Need to address the following seven questions, each stock in order to accurately calculate the margin of safety.
1, margin of safety, and the difference between stock prices
Margin of safety is relatively stable, changes every year, generally based on changes in bank interest and earnings per share calculation, volatility is relatively small , can be calculated; stock prices change all the time, is generally determined based on business growth stock, more volatile large, the company future is not easy to judge, not easy to calculate the judge.
2 , the calculated margin of safety conditions
3, the margin of safety valuation method
4, the bonus issue and send the difference on the basis of dividends
< br /> 5, a different margin of safety stock
6, holds a five-year calculation of the margin of safety under
7, the smallest margin of safety margin of safety, and the difference
8, the margin of safety rating valuation method
Valuation method with the margin of safety stock is now close to the true value is to determine the risk of equity investments, to see whether the stock price higher than the margin of safety, according to the current period closing price comparison, ratings for listed companies to provide investors choose reference, as the stock price to determine the level of standards. Generally once a year as a standard rating, according to the company basic analysis of ratings. Do not do technical analysis, technical analysis on Wall Street with a ridiculous thing.
The price is higher than the margin of safety can not hold the stock, then, the stock price higher than the margin of safety rating as Class 1A; the margin of safety below the price level of stocks as 3A; close to or equal to the basic safety marginal price of the stock rating of 2A.
Since investing in stocks that have a standard to judge, with such a provision, in order to identify buying and selling stocks to investors a basic standard, the basic standard is always the same, each year margin of safety based on price rating: divided into Class 3A, 2A class, 1A level. For listed companies, then the rating is based on the fundamentals and key macro-side decision.
Tip 2: do not understand , need to learn please contact: liujw789@yahoo.com.cn.
Note: Investment grade ratings are divided into 1A, 2A class, 3A level. Was named the Class 1A, 2A class, can not hold the stock, must sell! Was named the 3A level can hold the stock, or buy stocks.
The real business value price guzhi rating, the rating for the stock investment risk.
< br /> The stock investment stock investment into mathematical formulas — a margin of safety is calculated (Margin of safety stock investment formula) (article published: Wall Street happy Forum: http://www.wallstreetsurvivor.com/CS/forums / or https:/ / www.wallstreetsurvivor.com/CS/forums/t/45687.aspx who http://liujw789.blog.com/
Notes: Investment ratings are divided into 1A, 2A class, grade 3A was named 1A, 2A, can not hold the stock, must sell! was named the Class 3A can hold the stock or buy stock.
the true value price guzhi rating, the rating of the stock investment risk.
For example: the investment risk of guzhi to 2011 Luan ring as Class 2A.
more, please click here to read: Chapter 2 of the calculation rules of the “margin of safety margin of safety calculation

margin of safety formula reasoning to prove the (paper)
author: Liu Jinwu
The Wall Street the Jie owned Godfather West Livermore said, “The stock market is the greatest human invention and the most complex mystery to unravel the mystery of the people should get the first prize. ”
a margin of safety concept
Apple why would fall from a tree come from? no one knew When we know the law of universal gravitation was such a principle. theorem of universal gravitation Newton on the basis of the previous (Kepler, Hooke, Wren, Halley), by virtue of his extraordinary mathematical abilities proved, Philosophiae Naturalis Principia Mathematica, “published in 1687. stock margin of safety is how to determine? understand when we know the margin of safety theorem, the original is the principle of margin of safety theorem of my predecessors Benjamin

October 30, 2011
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latest> <(). Episode 2 Talking the latest flight theory "the essence of the content
this theory is the latest operating techniques of the stock market win the victory, and a short midline operation based investors, especially on the post
investors, is a very useful modern operating knowledge to many investors. opportunity
and wealth. Talking on the a large number of actual shares of spectrum on the basis of statistical and inductive, stocks will not rise? up tall?
conducted the a large number of qualitative and quantitative analysis of the changing price movement early show the trajectory of changing the Mo
measured K-line combination of beginning to achieve some kind of law, summary of all the skyrocketing stock before the initial state, from the inductive their common

preview a number of investors twist loss for the surplus, first toward the wealthy. to you as soon as possible CD set, as soon as possible benefit. get rich as soon as possible.
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125: [Down the Sibao] 1 VCD Speaker: Don
elaborate Tang the Sibao principle and the actual combat use
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126: [two of the short-term trick of deciphering the stock password] VCD Speaker: Talking
Tang flight theory real disk Detailed
investors profit necessary teaching materials. can not see. practical operating cheat, popular should know, doubled operating level
[enter take-off line began to glide runway thickness] [runway slope] [flatness] [runway pit, and the amount of pit
[off the ground] [accelerate reptiles] [the sky] [aerial refueling ] [high-altitude flight and other rich content
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127: [PLAY with the village skills] 3 VCD Speaker: Ruan Kaili
the most comprehensive reveal the dealer a good thing. quickly snapped up.
local highly recommended latest top technology tutorials
Makers The term is borrowed from gambling in the stock market financial strength of institutions, social
groups or individuals large, they take the market as rivals by having funds, using a variety of hand
paragraph of influence and manipulation of the stock market and stock prices on and off, in order to obtain profitable. This set of tutorials for Johnson
home some of the acts and market performance. To illustrate the process of PLAY and manipulation of stock prices. And
reveal the the Makers internal and all kinds of insider. You recognize the acts of the dealer. To protect themselves, and use
makers inevitable phenomenon to make money for themselves.
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128: [stock market winners actual technical seminars] 6 VCD Speaker: many experts
classic Chinese stock market operations to read the tape combat technology tutorials stocks necessary
investment philosophy and stock selection] Zhao Xiaoyun
trend line and channel theory] star
stock trading technical analysis] Tong Clipsal
risk control and investment skills] the Luojia (Chen Jie)
classic technology stocks necessary
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< br /> 129: [Talking through nineteen strong stock selection techniques 6 VCD Speaker: Talking
"19 stock picking technology" CD Trader course materials, swept the country.
original Price: 380 yuan / sets. Now out of print, the ST is not exported.
Tang can pass the resulting proposed "Nineteen strong stock picking technology"
of 19 weak to escape the top technology "and" short-term silver theory, its most demagogic The slogan is a week to capture a
or 2.5% of the stock, to spend two years from 10 million yuan Scoop one million yuan
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130: risk stocks combat strategy] 2 VCD Speaker: Zhou Buddha Lang
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131: [the stocks on this recipe] 4 VCD Speaker: hanging scroll Kat Lee < br />
shareholders combat The manual, by the Office of the State Council of economic reform. famous macro analyst: Lee hanging scroll guitar speaker
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132: [Qian stock camp】 6 VCD Speaker: Qiu Yiping
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133: [a positive short-term ultimate move] 16 VCD Speaker: Xin shares school in a positive
a Yang (short-term kill) the latest training
The teaching VCD teaching methods, teaching CD is a total of 16, each disc is about 60 minutes teaching time.
CD content: Case picture with synchronized voice to explain. Pictures!
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134 [Warrants operation techniques and trading skills] 8VCD Speaker: a positive
Wanxin shares the school a positive (short-term kill of that) all the latest training tutorials
eight hours, eight hours
with warrants to buy, selling; the T 0 operating skills. warrants Stop Loss (profit) operation; warrants holding;
warrants Change judgment; warrants to the other contracting research methods
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135 [a sun at the top of the operating technique] 4VCD Speaker:
a sun classic video tutorials, a positive 2006 latest to the 4VCD
how Determine the market, stocks at the top of the Dip!
This set of training discs middle finger. Explain in detail the judgment skills at the top of index and individual stocks. To provide students avoid risks
.
the first set: explain in detail the top two major characteristics.
the second set: index of short-term at the top of the amount of energy characteristics.
third set: the top of the plate resistance index.
the fourth set: the establishment at the top of the short-term stock
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136: [investors Chang - the stock market decrypt] 6 VCD Speaker: Zhang
wisdom to win the bull market profits, Tsinghua University master , spokesperson of the stock market mystery
China new generation of investors – investors Zhang profitability of the stock market is served by thinking of open thinking
Speaker investors Zhang
He is an ordinary investors – he was called “investors Zhang. The share of ups and downs of the sea, losing money to make money, through the kind of mentality and
.
he is a less common shareholders – wrote a song, he was 7,000 million people as can speak on behalf of their own heart
spokesperson.
CCTV repeatedly requested him on the screen and the Chairman of the SFC repeatedly referred to his songs and name.
He was not always do an ordinary shareholders – has a Master of Engineering, Tsinghua University, academic background, has a highly Wu
and strong logical reasoning ability, with pursuit of the stock market the true meaning of the tenacious and tough.
After the bear market shares of Yangzi Petrochemical, Offshore Oil Engineering doubling operation, he realized that the stock market among the most essential and most
eternal two things.

September 5, 2010
footwear vendors – Belle International Holdings Ltd (1880.HK: Quote, Profile, Research) announced that has entered into various agreements, Nike and Fila Luxembourg and Fila Group sports shoes wholesale, to the acquisition of the Fila Chinese trademarks and other related property rights, brand sports shoes wholesale, shoes class prospects in Fiji is expected to involve capital, the Nike sports shoes, $ 8 million.
Belle Friday resumption of trading, high imitation shoes agent, followed early the early part of the losses were decreased by 8.46%, fine imitation of the sports shoes wholesale, follow-up after the show how to classify the different customers, to 7.68 Hong Kong dollar .
notice, Belle International, through its wholly-owned subsidiary of Adidas sports shoes, Fila Luxembourg entered into a trademark assignment agreement, Nike shoes. According to the agreement, sports shoes, wholesale markets, and Fila – Luxembourg agreed to Fila trademark so that I Belle International. Belle International to cash, the European Union to be launched on China exports of shoes to anti-circumvention investigation, eight million U.S. dollars to pay for the transactions, Putian imitation shoes, Belle International wholly owned FullProspectLimited 15% equity is transferred to the Fila Luxembourg. The principal assets of this venture for the Fila Chinese trademark.
In addition, Belle International announced and will FilaNetherlandB.V. to acquire the entire share capital of its Hong Kong retail companies FilaMarketing (HongKong) Limited, fine imitation of the sports shoes wholesale, the preliminary purchase price of $ 1,107,000 (approximately HK $ 8,634.6 Wan).
Belle fine imitation shoes shop agents, times the number of agreements will enhance the brand awareness in the target customer base.
Belle suspension on August 14, the stock at HK $ 8.39 before the suspension. In the past month before the suspension, high imitation shoes wholesale, the stock has dropped 7.8% news this summer together to Shape-ups [Figure] Spain to bring over 300 pairs of shoes arrived in South Africa, Adidas, and Nike World Cup Xtep results of the war dominate the children shoes to help board to create deep cultural connotation ERKE into high-tech leaders Pick orders increased seven wolves public-spirited contributions to the charity exhibition

August 8, 2011
customers to change the side of the pants, Article Fila, domestic authentic. In fact, the brand fade out a long time, with the understanding of the brand HEAD Hyde, but that time was still at school, wearing Fila and Hyde are mostly fake. These two markets have domestic production. Things work and fabric, Adidas and NIKE all the village people wear.

April 2, 2011
In order to curb the declining trend of the brand performance of the agent movement, Belle made a decision of the closed shop. To greatly reduce the number of inefficient sportswear shop in the first half, off 346 stores, will continue in the second half to shut shop. In addition, Belle nearly $ 600 million *** held by the famous Italian sports brand Fila business.
Recently, Belle and Daphne International have released the interim report of international sports brands *** sustained fall, the two companies invariably make a “major retreat” action.
According to Belle announced half-year results report said the agency business is not ideal, and Belle agent Nike and Adidas, an increase of 2.5%. The performance of sub-brand of Nike and Adidas Converse and Reebok and other second-tier sports apparel brand than increased reduction, these second-tier brand compared with $ 7.1 billion in the same period last year, a decrease of 11.3%.
while gradually removed the business of international sports brands, Daphne own brand of fast-growing. Daphne corporate earnings reported, the company brand business accounted for 92% of Group turnover has increased over last year, 87% the proportion of. , The Group core brand “shoe” Better than expected performance, turnover increased significantly by 65.9%. Daphne will continue to increase investment in the flagship brand, additional Daphne *** 228 points, and continue to expand in the Chinese mainland and Taiwan *** network. It is reported that as of June 30, 2009, Daphne has Daphne shop 1845, 557 counters 655 and joined the retail stores, compared to the turnover increased by 13.5 percent over the same period last year.
own brand become the growth point
two agents want to withdraw resistant Kee Di business
Daphne Belle can be described as the hero slightly the same. Daphne international conference of which the interim report said it would quit the agency business for Nike, Adidas brand clothing. It is understood that, as of June 30 this year, Daphne agent Adidas *** point remaining 107, 21 are closed within six months; its agents, Nike will spend the remaining eight, a decrease of 20. Daphne International investor relations vice president, said Stanley Au, the remaining eight Nike shop will be all closed in the second half of the year; 107 Adidas *** point may *** resale.
[global footwear network] market is not good, sharp drop in international sports brands *** Reporters recently learned, Belle International (01880.HK) and Daphne (00210.hk) two Nike, Adidas agents, are being evacuated brand agency business of these two countries, it focuses on the development of self brand.

of IK-of HOU the VAN E-MUZIEK
overseas resources, electronic style-based, each accompanied by audition .

March 8, 2012
the Quanzhou spinning enterprises force gains the power of attorney of the five international brands 2012-3-7 Chinese fashion brand network

Reporters recently learned from the industry, the spinning enterprises breath scored five top international brands to the agent, and the accumulation of operational experience to enter the international market in the future. This won the Nike the right to operate the garments as well as related marketing network Fengzhu a reflection to the study of international brands in the brand building as well as international road.

Quanzhou on the road of international exploration pace never relented, and in this process, cross-border acquisitions of equity and agents of international brands such as play a role in fueling. Reporters recently learned from the industry, The Quanzhou FangQi breath won five top international brands to the agent to enter the international market for the future accumulation of operational experience.
with the Nike strong cooperation
made five top international brand power of attorney is an associated enterprise of Fengzhu, Nike The latest sub-brands (NIKE ACTION) Converse (CONVERSE,) 0-14 years old children clothing sales agent the right, are reverted to the bag.
“is not the identity of the listed companies to take international brand power of attorney, but a related company. Fengzhu Technology Co., Ltd., general manager Chen Feng told reporters that this made international brand power of attorney Nike and Converse brand children clothing and Teens national power of attorney, and the provisional can not be revealed. He said that this item to a dedicated team to operate the authorized factory production base is located in the country.
In fact, this is just the Fengzhu with Nike on the cooperation to further strengthen. Earlier, Nike users Fengzhu grade fabrics, the two sides on the production and supply has been cooperation. This won the Nike the right to operate the garments as well as related marketing network Fengzhu a reflection to the study of international brands in the brand building as well as international road.
said Chen Feng, the Fengzhu already have a relatively complete industrial chain, but inexperienced in apparel brand building, through the operation of an international brand, you can integrate advantageous resources for future enterprises to create their own clothing. chains as well as lay the foundation to enter the international market. “We are confident, do ten several hundred million results in a few years.” He said.

International. road distinctive
In fact, the pace of the past two years Quanzhou enterprises into the international market is being accelerated, but the choice of the road are different.
Just last month, the Olympic in Los Angeles, United States flagship store grand opening, an area of ??over 260 square meters, to further consolidate its position in the U.S. market, which previously Pick has been established in the United States R

The second leg of London Fashion Week will bring us what kind of
surprise? London Fashion Week, the lack of big names to help out
young brand and designer for the main T-Taiwan show gave us
unfettered imagination. Bold printing, and break the stereotypes of
the cut, the same ultimately, maverick jewelry.

Temperley Lond on bead
necklace

Temperley Lond on retro necklace

Temperley Lond on a green gem necklace

< br /> Temperley Lond on cascading necklace
Temperley Lond on, the hot British brand in recent years, it the
show floor can easily find a blend of classical and modern beauty.
Traditional print chiffon blouse, avant-garde metal color clothing,
half of the geometric lines of the skirt, just look at each piece
does not seem to be in the quarter, but the overall mix and match
jewelry retro series, actually the harmony and unity.

MICHAEL VAN DER of HAM golden flowers bracelet

MICHAEL VAN DER of HAM gold ring

MICHAEL the VAN DER HAM
The young designer like the texture of the fabric itself, texture,
thickness, shape the form of clothes, there is no lack of kneading
or three-dimensional fabric cut to highlight the overall
temperament, chosen by the designer gold bracelet
in the season series full of crude sense, and the folds of the
clothes echoed. < br />

Holly Fulton, pop style necklace

Holly Fulton, geometric arring